5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.0%
136 games
As Favorite
52.2%
90 games
As Underdog
52.3%
44 games
Recent Season
44.4%
2024-25
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Pepperdine
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2024-25
Longwood
18
14
0.5620.56
-6.5
-0.9
—
—
-0.95
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Longwood
21
14
0.6000.60
-5.3
-0.3
-0.01
#16
-0.31
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Longwood
20
12
0.6250.62
-5.2
+0.3
—
—
+0.57
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Longwood
26
7
0.7880.79
-0.0
+4.6
-0.15
#14
+2.28
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Longwood
12
17
0.4140.41
-9.9
+0.2
—
—
+2.20
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Longwood
14
18
0.4380.44
-12.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Longwood
16
18
0.4710.47
-9.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.