5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.4%
147 games
As Favorite
52.0%
102 games
As Underdog
51.1%
45 games
Recent Season
56.7%
2025-26
Current Season
56.7%
30 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Kansas St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Belmont
26
6
0.8120.81
+3.3
+4.1
—
—
-1.53
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Belmont
22
11
0.6670.67
-1.1
+3.9
—
—
+0.56
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Belmont
20
13
0.6060.61
-1.9
+3.1
—
—
+1.66
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Belmont
21
11
0.6560.66
-1.9
+1.7
—
—
+0.45
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Belmont
25
8
0.7580.76
+2.6
+1.5
—
—
-2.16
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Belmont
26
4
0.8670.87
+1.7
+3.7
—
—
-1.69
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Belmont
26
7
0.7880.79
+0.7
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Lipscomb
29
8
0.7840.78
+2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Lipscomb
23
10
0.6970.70
-0.8
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Lipscomb
20
13
0.6060.61
-4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Lipscomb
12
21
0.3640.36
-12.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Lipscomb
14
17
0.4520.45
-8.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Lipscomb
15
15
0.5000.50
-7.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Stetson
15
16
0.4840.48
-7.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Stetson
9
20
0.3100.31
-10.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.