5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.5%
160 games
As Favorite
52.3%
109 games
As Underdog
52.9%
51 games
Recent Season
56.8%
2025-26
Current Season
56.8%
37 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Nevada
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Nevada
24
13
0.6490.65
+1.8
+3.0
—
—
+1.23
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Nevada
17
16
0.5150.52
-3.1
-3.8
—
—
-1.85
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Nevada
26
8
0.7650.76
+6.3
+4.7
-0.58
#10
+1.61
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Nevada
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.6
+3.4
-0.56
#11
+3.38
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Nevada
13
18
0.4190.42
-4.7
-3.4
—
—
-3.93
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Nevada
16
10
0.6150.62
-0.4
+2.1
—
—
+1.54
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Nevada
19
12
0.6130.61
-0.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
UCLA
7
6
0.5380.54
-1.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
UCLA
21
12
0.6360.64
+3.1
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
UCLA
31
5
0.8610.86
+9.5
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
UCLA
15
17
0.4690.47
-1.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
UCLA
22
14
0.6110.61
+2.8
—
+1.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
UCLA
28
9
0.7570.76
+7.7
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
New Mexico
29
6
0.8290.83
+11.2
—
-1.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
New Mexico
28
7
0.8000.80
+6.7
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
New Mexico
22
13
0.6290.63
+1.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
New Mexico
30
5
0.8570.86
+9.5
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
New Mexico
22
12
0.6470.65
+2.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
New Mexico
24
9
0.7270.73
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Iowa
17
14
0.5480.55
+0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Iowa
25
9
0.7350.74
+7.4
—
-1.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Iowa
21
12
0.6360.64
+5.0
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Iowa
16
13
0.5520.55
+0.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Iowa
17
14
0.5480.55
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Iowa
19
16
0.5430.54
+2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Iowa
23
12
0.6570.66
+6.0
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Iowa
14
16
0.4670.47
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Southwest Missouri St.
22
11
0.6670.67
—
—
—
—
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Southwest Missouri St.
16
16
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Southwest Missouri St.
24
9
0.7270.73
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Southwest Missouri St.
16
12
0.5710.57
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
East Rutherford, NJ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.