5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
44.7%
168 games
As Favorite
42.0%
112 games
As Underdog
48.1%
54 games
Recent Season
37.5%
2025-26
Current Season
37.5%
32 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Oregon
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Oregon
12
20
0.3750.38
-3.7
-3.6
—
—
-0.78
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Oregon
25
10
0.7140.71
+8.0
+4.0
-0.12
#5
+0.70
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Oregon
24
12
0.6670.67
+4.7
+3.8
+0.44
#11
+1.50
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Oregon
21
15
0.5830.58
+1.7
+0.2
—
—
+0.03
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Oregon
20
15
0.5710.57
+0.3
-1.3
—
—
-2.48
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Oregon
21
7
0.7500.75
+5.5
+3.0
+0.14
#7
-1.00
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Oregon
24
7
0.7740.77
+7.7
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Oregon
25
13
0.6580.66
+2.6
—
+1.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Oregon
23
13
0.6390.64
+1.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Oregon
33
6
0.8460.85
+9.6
—
+2.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Oregon
31
7
0.8160.82
+10.0
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Oregon
26
10
0.7220.72
+6.2
—
+0.31
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Oregon
24
10
0.7060.71
+5.4
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Oregon
28
9
0.7570.76
+6.2
—
+1.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Oregon
24
10
0.7060.71
+3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Oregon
21
18
0.5380.54
-2.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Creighton
18
16
0.5290.53
-3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Creighton
27
8
0.7710.77
+4.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Creighton
22
11
0.6670.67
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Creighton
22
11
0.6670.67
+5.2
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Creighton
20
10
0.6670.67
+3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Creighton
23
11
0.6760.68
+3.9
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Creighton
20
9
0.6900.69
+2.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Creighton
29
5
0.8530.85
—
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Creighton
23
9
0.7190.72
+2.7
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Creighton
24
8
0.7500.75
+5.2
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Creighton
23
10
0.6970.70
—
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Creighton
22
9
0.7100.71
—
—
+0.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Creighton
18
10
0.6430.64
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Creighton
15
15
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Creighton
14
15
0.4830.48
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Creighton
7
19
0.2690.27
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Seattle, WA
►1993-94
Kansas St.
20
14
0.5880.59
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Charlotte, NC
►1992-93
Kansas St.
19
11
0.6330.63
—
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►1991-92
Kansas St.
16
14
0.5330.53
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1990-91
Kansas St.
13
15
0.4640.46
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1989-90
Marshall
15
13
0.5360.54
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Denver, CO
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.