5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
46.1%
123 games
As Favorite
40.7%
54 games
As Underdog
50.7%
67 games
Recent Season
44.4%
2025-26
Current Season
44.4%
27 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Harvard
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Harvard
17
12
0.5860.59
-4.6
+1.4
—
—
+2.57
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Harvard
12
15
0.4440.44
-8.2
+0.2
—
—
+0.00
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Harvard
14
13
0.5190.52
-5.1
+0.6
—
—
-1.57
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Harvard
14
14
0.5000.50
-6.4
-1.3
—
—
+0.90
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Harvard
13
13
0.5000.50
-7.1
-1.7
—
—
-1.14
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Harvard
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Harvard
21
8
0.7240.72
+0.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Harvard
19
12
0.6130.61
-0.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Harvard
18
14
0.5620.56
-4.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Harvard
18
10
0.6430.64
-2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Harvard
14
16
0.4670.47
-6.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Harvard
22
8
0.7330.73
+1.8
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Harvard
27
5
0.8440.84
+5.0
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Harvard
20
10
0.6670.67
+0.5
—
+0.85
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Harvard
26
5
0.8390.84
+5.1
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Harvard
23
7
0.7670.77
+2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Harvard
21
8
0.7240.72
+0.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Harvard
14
14
0.5000.50
-7.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Harvard
8
22
0.2670.27
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Michigan
22
13
0.6290.63
+2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Michigan
22
11
0.6670.67
+2.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Michigan
13
18
0.4190.42
-3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Michigan
23
11
0.6760.68
+1.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Michigan
17
13
0.5670.57
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Michigan
11
18
0.3790.38
-3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Seton Hall
16
15
0.5160.52
-0.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Seton Hall
22
10
0.6880.69
—
—
+1.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Seton Hall
15
15
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Seton Hall
15
15
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.