5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.2%
178 games
As Favorite
55.6%
144 games
As Underdog
42.4%
33 games
Recent Season
51.3%
2025-26
Current Season
51.3%
37 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Tennessee
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Tennessee
25
12
0.6760.68
+7.0
+0.9
+1.98
#6
-1.34
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Tennessee
30
8
0.7890.79
+11.8
+3.8
+0.73
#2
-0.18
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Tennessee
27
9
0.7500.75
+7.8
+2.4
+0.73
#2
+1.49
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Tennessee
25
11
0.6940.69
+4.6
-1.3
+0.48
#4
+0.90
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Tennessee
27
8
0.7710.77
+10.0
+3.4
-0.79
#3
+2.13
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Tennessee
18
9
0.6670.67
+4.4
-0.5
-1.12
#5
-2.11
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Tennessee
17
14
0.5480.55
+0.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Tennessee
31
6
0.8380.84
+12.1
—
-0.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Tennessee
26
9
0.7430.74
+8.7
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Tennessee
16
16
0.5000.50
-0.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Tennessee
15
19
0.4410.44
-3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Texas
20
14
0.5880.59
+4.0
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Texas
24
11
0.6860.69
+5.8
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Texas
16
18
0.4710.47
-2.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Texas
20
14
0.5880.59
+3.0
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Texas
28
8
0.7780.78
+8.9
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Texas
24
10
0.7060.71
+7.1
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Texas
23
12
0.6570.66
+5.0
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Texas
31
7
0.8160.82
—
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Texas
25
10
0.7140.71
+6.4
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Texas
30
7
0.8110.81
+9.3
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Texas
20
11
0.6450.65
+4.7
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Texas
25
8
0.7580.76
+7.6
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Texas
26
7
0.7880.79
—
—
+0.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Texas
22
12
0.6470.65
+5.5
—
+0.98
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Texas
25
9
0.7350.74
+8.5
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►1999-00
Texas
24
9
0.7270.73
—
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►1998-99
Texas
19
13
0.5940.59
—
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Petersburg, FL
►1997-98
Clemson
18
14
0.5620.56
—
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►1996-97
Clemson
23
10
0.6970.70
—
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Indianapolis, IN
►1995-96
Clemson
18
11
0.6210.62
—
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
East Rutherford, NJ
►1994-95
Clemson
15
13
0.5360.54
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Seattle, WA
►1993-94
Providence
20
10
0.6670.67
—
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Charlotte, NC
►1992-93
Providence
20
13
0.6060.61
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►1991-92
Providence
14
17
0.4520.45
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►1990-91
Providence
19
13
0.5940.59
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►1989-90
Providence
17
12
0.5860.59
—
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Denver, CO
►1988-89
Providence
18
11
0.6210.62
—
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Seattle, WA
►1987-88
George Mason
20
10
0.6670.67
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Kansas City, MO
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.