5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
48.1%
119 games
As Favorite
52.8%
91 games
As Underdog
32.1%
28 games
Recent Season
52.9%
2023-24
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2023-24
Virginia
23
11
0.6760.68
+4.4
+1.8
-0.58
#10
-3.18
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Virginia
25
8
0.7580.76
+5.4
+2.7
-1.52
#4
-1.30
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Virginia
21
14
0.6000.60
+0.3
-0.4
—
—
-2.87
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Virginia
18
7
0.7200.72
+5.2
+0.3
-1.52
#4
-2.30
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Virginia
23
7
0.7670.77
+6.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Virginia
35
3
0.9210.92
+12.7
—
+2.74
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
🏆
🏆
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Virginia
31
3
0.9120.91
+13.6
—
-3.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Virginia
23
11
0.6760.68
+6.2
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Virginia
29
8
0.7840.78
+10.1
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Virginia
30
4
0.8820.88
+11.3
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Virginia
30
7
0.8110.81
+9.4
—
-1.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Virginia
23
12
0.6570.66
+1.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Virginia
22
10
0.6880.69
+3.4
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Virginia
16
15
0.5160.52
-1.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Virginia
15
16
0.4840.48
-1.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Washington St.
17
16
0.5150.52
+0.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Washington St.
26
9
0.7430.74
—
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Washington St.
26
8
0.7650.76
+7.0
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.