5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
44.0%
153 games
As Favorite
47.1%
104 games
As Underdog
41.3%
46 games
Recent Season
40.0%
2025-26
Current Season
40.0%
30 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Ohio
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Ohio
15
17
0.4690.47
-7.8
-1.7
—
—
-2.42
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Ohio
16
16
0.5000.50
-8.3
-3.6
—
—
-2.66
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Ohio
20
13
0.6060.61
-5.1
-0.8
—
—
-0.18
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Ohio
19
14
0.5760.58
-4.8
+0.6
—
—
+1.72
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Ohio
25
10
0.7140.71
-0.6
+1.6
—
—
-0.23
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Ohio
17
8
0.6800.68
+0.2
+3.2
+0.76
#13
+2.79
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Ohio
17
15
0.5310.53
-4.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Stony Brook
24
9
0.7270.73
-0.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Stony Brook
13
19
0.4060.41
-9.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Stony Brook
18
14
0.5620.56
-5.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.