5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
42.9%
124 games
As Favorite
43.5%
62 games
As Underdog
44.3%
61 games
Recent Season
35.5%
2023-24
Trend
COLD
Struggles to cover the spread — well below average ATS.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Michigan
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2023-24
Oklahoma St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-4.6
-3.8
—
—
-1.60
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Oklahoma St.
20
16
0.5560.56
+1.8
+0.2
—
—
-0.32
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Oklahoma St.
15
15
0.5000.50
+0.4
-1.2
—
—
+1.78
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Oklahoma St.
21
9
0.7000.70
+6.2
+4.4
-0.52
#4
+1.52
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Oklahoma St.
18
14
0.5620.56
+2.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Oklahoma St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Oklahoma St.
21
15
0.5830.58
+2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.