5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
47.6%
149 games
As Favorite
45.7%
35 games
As Underdog
50.4%
113 games
Recent Season
42.9%
2025-26
Current Season
42.9%
28 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Northern Arizona
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Northern Arizona
10
22
0.3120.31
-13.2
-3.7
—
—
-2.98
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Northern Arizona
18
16
0.5290.53
-8.1
-0.2
—
—
+0.97
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Northern Arizona
14
19
0.4240.42
-9.7
+1.7
—
—
-1.45
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Northern Arizona
12
23
0.3430.34
-12.0
-2.6
—
—
+1.77
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Northern Arizona
9
23
0.2810.28
-15.4
-3.3
—
—
-2.34
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Northern Arizona
6
16
0.2730.27
-9.2
-0.7
—
—
-1.36
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Northern Arizona
16
14
0.5330.53
-5.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.