5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
46.2%
143 games
As Favorite
50.0%
20 games
As Underdog
48.3%
120 games
Recent Season
46.4%
2025-26
Current Season
46.4%
28 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Northern Illinois
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Northern Illinois
9
21
0.3000.30
-12.3
-1.6
—
—
-3.20
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Northern Illinois
6
25
0.1940.19
-17.8
-5.2
—
—
-2.32
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Northern Illinois
11
20
0.3550.35
-10.7
-2.2
—
—
-2.64
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Northern Illinois
13
19
0.4060.41
-9.5
+0.6
—
—
+1.91
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Northern Illinois
9
21
0.3000.30
-12.1
+0.3
—
—
+3.31
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.