5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.1%
157 games
As Favorite
54.9%
111 games
As Underdog
54.4%
46 games
Recent Season
48.6%
2025-26
Current Season
48.6%
35 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Vanderbilt
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Vanderbilt
27
9
0.7500.75
+10.3
+2.5
-0.12
#5
+0.44
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Vanderbilt
20
13
0.6060.61
+4.3
+1.4
-0.58
#10
+0.58
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
James Madison
32
4
0.8890.89
+5.1
+6.8
+0.52
#12
+2.77
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
James Madison
22
11
0.6670.67
-2.1
+0.1
—
—
+1.25
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
James Madison
15
14
0.5170.52
-6.2
-0.3
—
—
-2.81
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
James Madison
13
7
0.6500.65
-2.5
+0.8
—
—
+4.50
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Georgia Southern
20
13
0.6060.61
-3.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Georgia Southern
21
12
0.6360.64
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Georgia Southern
21
12
0.6360.64
-3.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Georgia Southern
18
15
0.5450.55
-5.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Georgia Southern
14
17
0.4520.45
-8.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Georgia Southern
22
9
0.7100.71
-1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Georgia Southern
15
19
0.4410.44
-12.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.