5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
56.9%
75 games
As Favorite
68.8%
16 games
As Underdog
53.4%
58 games
Recent Season
55.6%
2025-26
Current Season
55.6%
27 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Northwestern St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Northwestern St.
10
22
0.3120.31
-14.1
-2.1
—
—
+0.95
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Northwestern St.
16
16
0.5000.50
-7.0
+2.4
—
—
+3.20
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Northwestern St.
9
23
0.2810.28
-15.0
-3.5
—
—
-0.25
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.