5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.3%
141 games
As Favorite
51.6%
95 games
As Underdog
56.5%
46 games
Recent Season
48.5%
2024-25
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Cincinnati
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Utah State
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Utah St.
26
8
0.7650.76
+5.7
+3.2
-0.58
#10
-0.86
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Youngstown St.
22
10
0.6880.69
-2.8
+1.7
—
—
+2.45
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Youngstown St.
24
10
0.7060.71
-2.1
+2.4
—
—
+2.50
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Youngstown St.
19
15
0.5590.56
-7.8
-0.0
—
—
+0.98
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Youngstown St.
15
12
0.5560.56
-6.6
-1.5
—
—
-3.86
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Youngstown St.
18
15
0.5450.55
-7.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Youngstown St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-10.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Youngstown St.
8
24
0.2500.25
-14.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.