5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.8%
161 games
As Favorite
57.1%
84 games
As Underdog
50.6%
77 games
Recent Season
48.5%
2025-26
Current Season
48.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Pittsburgh
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Pittsburgh
13
20
0.3940.39
-4.0
-2.7
—
—
-2.74
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Pittsburgh
17
15
0.5310.53
-0.9
-3.1
—
—
-1.22
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Pittsburgh
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.2
+2.7
—
—
+3.70
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Pittsburgh
24
12
0.6670.67
+1.2
+4.9
+1.44
#11
+3.24
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Pittsburgh
11
21
0.3440.34
-7.8
-1.8
—
—
-2.40
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Pittsburgh
10
12
0.4550.45
-2.3
-0.2
—
—
+2.07
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Pittsburgh
16
17
0.4850.48
-2.2
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Pittsburgh
14
19
0.4240.42
-4.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2010-11
Oklahoma
14
18
0.4380.44
-3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Oklahoma
13
18
0.4190.42
-2.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Oklahoma
30
6
0.8330.83
+9.8
—
+0.73
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Oklahoma
23
12
0.6570.66
—
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Oklahoma
16
15
0.5160.52
-1.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
VCU
19
10
0.6550.66
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
VCU
19
13
0.5940.59
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
VCU
23
8
0.7420.74
—
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
VCU
18
10
0.6430.64
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.