5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
45.3%
99 games
As Favorite
48.8%
41 games
As Underdog
43.9%
57 games
Recent Season
46.9%
2025-26
Current Season
46.9%
32 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Fairfield
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Fairfield
21
13
0.6180.62
-7.1
+2.7
—
—
+0.58
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Fairfield
12
20
0.3750.38
-14.1
-1.3
—
—
-0.85
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Fairfield
24
13
0.6490.65
-4.5
+4.3
—
—
+2.53
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2018-19
Niagara
13
19
0.4060.41
-12.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Niagara
19
14
0.5760.58
-4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Niagara
10
23
0.3030.30
-14.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Niagara
7
25
0.2190.22
-15.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Niagara
8
22
0.2670.27
-12.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Niagara
7
26
0.2120.21
-15.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.