5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
42.7%
117 games
As Favorite
40.3%
67 games
As Underdog
48.0%
50 games
Recent Season
29.0%
2025-26
Current Season
29.0%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Struggles to cover the spread — well below average ATS.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Florida Gulf Coast
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Florida Gulf Coast
16
18
0.4710.47
-9.4
-1.9
—
—
-1.47
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Florida Gulf Coast
19
15
0.5590.56
-5.6
-0.1
—
—
+0.44
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Florida Gulf Coast
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.6
-2.3
—
—
-1.11
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Florida Gulf Coast
17
15
0.5310.53
-6.3
-1.6
—
—
-1.74
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2019-20
Penn St.
21
10
0.6770.68
+5.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Penn St.
14
18
0.4380.44
-0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Penn St.
26
13
0.6670.67
+2.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Penn St.
15
18
0.4550.45
-2.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Penn St.
16
16
0.5000.50
-1.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Penn St.
18
16
0.5290.53
+0.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Penn St.
16
18
0.4710.47
-1.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Penn St.
10
21
0.3230.32
-5.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Penn St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-4.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Boston University
21
14
0.6000.60
-4.1
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Boston University
21
14
0.6000.60
-3.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.