5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
43.8%
56 games
As Favorite
30.0%
10 games
As Underdog
47.8%
46 games
Recent Season
35.7%
2025-26
Current Season
35.7%
28 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
UTSA
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
UTSA
5
25
0.1670.17
-15.5
-4.5
—
—
-3.25
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UTSA
12
19
0.3870.39
-9.7
-1.9
—
—
+1.07
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2022-23
Nicholls
16
15
0.5160.52
-7.5
-2.2
—
—
-1.86
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Nicholls
21
12
0.6360.64
-3.6
-0.3
—
—
-2.63
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Nicholls
18
7
0.7200.72
-1.9
+1.8
—
—
-0.62
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Nicholls
21
10
0.6770.68
-2.7
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Nicholls
14
17
0.4520.45
-9.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.