5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
47.6%
158 games
As Favorite
44.7%
76 games
As Underdog
54.9%
82 games
Recent Season
42.4%
2025-26
Current Season
42.4%
33 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Georgetown
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Georgetown
16
18
0.4710.47
-1.9
-0.7
—
—
+0.47
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Georgetown
18
16
0.5290.53
-1.8
+0.1
—
—
+0.76
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Georgetown
9
23
0.2810.28
-8.5
-3.7
—
—
-2.79
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Providence
21
12
0.6360.64
+2.6
+1.5
-0.56
#11
+1.64
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Providence
27
6
0.8180.82
+8.0
+8.3
+0.48
#4
+1.73
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Providence
13
13
0.5000.50
+0.0
-0.1
—
—
+2.10
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Providence
19
12
0.6130.61
+2.2
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Providence
18
16
0.5290.53
-0.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Providence
21
14
0.6000.60
+4.3
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Providence
20
13
0.6060.61
+2.8
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Providence
24
11
0.6860.69
+4.9
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Providence
22
12
0.6470.65
+5.8
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Providence
23
12
0.6570.66
+5.5
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Providence
19
15
0.5590.56
+0.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Providence
15
17
0.4690.47
-3.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Fairfield
25
8
0.7580.76
+1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Fairfield
23
11
0.6760.68
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Fairfield
17
15
0.5310.53
-4.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Fairfield
14
16
0.4670.47
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Fairfield
13
19
0.4060.41
-9.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.