5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.3%
166 games
As Favorite
55.0%
120 games
As Underdog
50.0%
46 games
Recent Season
52.8%
2025-26
Current Season
52.8%
36 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
UCLA
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
UCLA
24
12
0.6670.67
+6.3
+2.3
+0.14
#7
-0.17
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UCLA
23
11
0.6760.68
+5.8
+1.7
+0.14
#7
+2.13
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UCLA
16
17
0.4850.48
-2.4
-2.5
—
—
-2.53
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UCLA
31
6
0.8380.84
+10.6
+4.4
-0.27
#2
+2.75
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UCLA
27
8
0.7710.77
+7.9
+2.2
+0.48
#4
+3.16
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UCLA
22
10
0.6880.69
+3.2
+3.6
+4.44
#11
+1.03
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
F4
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
UCLA
19
12
0.6130.61
+1.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Cincinnati
28
7
0.8000.80
+8.6
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Cincinnati
31
5
0.8610.86
+9.3
—
-1.27
#2
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Cincinnati
30
6
0.8330.83
+8.6
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Cincinnati
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.5
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Cincinnati
23
11
0.6760.68
+2.1
—
+0.31
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Cincinnati
27
7
0.7940.79
+7.5
—
-1.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Cincinnati
22
12
0.6470.65
+4.6
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Cincinnati
26
11
0.7030.70
+4.9
—
+0.98
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Cincinnati
26
9
0.7430.74
+6.0
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Cincinnati
19
16
0.5430.54
+1.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Cincinnati
18
14
0.5620.56
+0.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Cincinnati
13
19
0.4060.41
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Cincinnati
11
19
0.3670.37
-5.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Murray St.
24
7
0.7740.77
+1.2
—
-0.15
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Murray St.
17
11
0.6070.61
-2.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Murray St.
28
6
0.8240.82
+4.8
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.