5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
57.8%
145 games
As Favorite
57.0%
93 games
As Underdog
58.8%
51 games
Recent Season
53.1%
2025-26
Current Season
53.1%
32 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Georgia Tech
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Troy
22
12
0.6470.65
-2.9
+1.4
-0.24
#13
-1.09
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Troy
23
11
0.6760.68
-1.7
+2.1
-0.15
#14
+1.33
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Troy
20
12
0.6250.62
-4.0
+1.3
—
—
+2.27
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Troy
20
13
0.6060.61
-3.3
+0.6
—
—
+1.27
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Troy
20
12
0.6250.62
-2.4
+3.6
—
—
+1.50
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Troy
11
17
0.3930.39
-8.4
+0.8
—
—
+1.16
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Troy
9
22
0.2900.29
-13.2
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2017-18
UT Arlington
21
13
0.6180.62
-2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
UT Arlington
27
9
0.7500.75
+2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
UT Arlington
24
11
0.6860.69
-0.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
UT Arlington
16
15
0.5160.52
-5.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
UT Arlington
15
17
0.4690.47
-7.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
UT Arlington
19
14
0.5760.58
-2.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
UT Arlington
24
9
0.7270.73
+0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
UT Arlington
13
16
0.4480.45
-9.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
UT Arlington
16
14
0.5330.53
-7.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
UT Arlington
16
14
0.5330.53
-5.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
UT Arlington
21
12
0.6360.64
—
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
UT Arlington
13
17
0.4330.43
-9.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.