5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
54.3%
113 games
As Favorite
51.6%
31 games
As Underdog
56.1%
82 games
Recent Season
46.2%
2025-26
Current Season
46.2%
26 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Nebraska Omaha
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Nebraska Omaha
16
17
0.4850.48
-8.8
-0.2
—
—
+0.16
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Nebraska Omaha
22
13
0.6290.63
-2.6
+6.1
-0.10
#15
+6.09
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Nebraska Omaha
15
18
0.4550.45
-9.8
-0.7
—
—
+1.11
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Nebraska Omaha
9
23
0.2810.28
-13.3
-2.5
—
—
-0.87
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.