5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
58.6%
29 games
As Underdog
57.1%
28 games
Recent Season
58.6%
2025-26
Current Season
58.6%
29 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Louisiana Monroe
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Louisiana Monroe
4
28
0.1250.12
-19.6
-5.6
—
—
+0.52
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2018-19
Troy
12
18
0.4000.40
-8.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Troy
16
17
0.4850.48
-7.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Troy
22
15
0.5950.59
-4.5
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Troy
9
22
0.2900.29
-13.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Troy
10
19
0.3450.34
-11.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Troy
11
20
0.3550.35
-11.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.