5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
45.0%
91 games
As Favorite
52.0%
25 games
As Underdog
43.9%
66 games
Recent Season
35.5%
2023-24
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2023-24
Detroit Mercy
1
31
0.0310.03
-21.4
-7.4
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Detroit Mercy
14
19
0.4240.42
-10.1
-2.4
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Detroit Mercy
14
16
0.4670.47
-7.5
-0.3
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Detroit Mercy
12
10
0.5450.55
-4.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Detroit Mercy
8
23
0.2580.26
-13.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Detroit Mercy
11
20
0.3550.35
-9.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Texas Southern
16
20
0.4440.44
-10.7
—
+0.99
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Texas Southern
23
12
0.6570.66
-3.0
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Texas Southern
18
15
0.5450.55
-7.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Texas Southern
22
13
0.6290.63
-2.7
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Texas Southern
19
15
0.5590.56
-7.1
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Texas Southern
17
14
0.5480.55
-6.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
UAB
15
16
0.4840.48
-2.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
UAB
22
9
0.7100.71
+3.7
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
UAB
25
9
0.7350.74
+4.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
UAB
22
12
0.6470.65
+3.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
UAB
23
11
0.6760.68
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
UAB
15
16
0.4840.48
-3.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Indiana
19
12
0.6130.61
+3.3
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Indiana
15
14
0.5170.52
+1.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Indiana
14
15
0.4830.48
-0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Indiana
21
13
0.6180.62
—
—
+0.14
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Indiana
25
12
0.6760.68
+6.6
—
+3.88
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Indiana
21
13
0.6180.62
+5.7
—
-1.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.