5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
49.4%
162 games
As Favorite
47.6%
82 games
As Underdog
50.0%
78 games
Recent Season
48.5%
2025-26
Current Season
48.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
UCF
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
UCF
21
12
0.6360.64
+5.2
+3.7
-0.58
#10
+0.83
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UCF
20
17
0.5410.54
+1.0
+1.7
—
—
+0.32
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UCF
17
16
0.5150.52
+0.3
-0.2
—
—
+2.26
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UCF
19
15
0.5590.56
-1.5
-0.1
—
—
+3.15
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UCF
18
12
0.6000.60
-0.3
+1.2
—
—
-1.75
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
UCF
11
12
0.4780.48
-1.2
+0.9
—
—
+0.57
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
UCF
16
14
0.5330.53
-2.6
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
UCF
24
9
0.7270.73
+4.8
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
UCF
19
13
0.5940.59
-0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
UCF
24
12
0.6670.67
+1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Stanford
15
15
0.5000.50
+0.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Stanford
24
13
0.6490.65
+1.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Stanford
23
13
0.6390.64
+3.8
—
+1.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Stanford
19
15
0.5590.56
+1.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Stanford
26
11
0.7030.70
+1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Stanford
15
16
0.4840.48
-2.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Stanford
14
18
0.4380.44
-3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Stanford
20
14
0.5880.59
+1.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.