5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
46.8%
157 games
As Favorite
46.0%
113 games
As Underdog
45.5%
44 games
Recent Season
43.8%
2025-26
Current Season
43.8%
32 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Indiana
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Indiana
18
14
0.5620.56
+2.0
-1.9
—
—
-1.28
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
West Virginia
19
13
0.5940.59
+4.0
+2.1
—
—
+1.33
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Drake
28
7
0.8000.80
+5.2
+3.9
-0.58
#10
+0.26
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Drake
27
8
0.7710.77
+2.8
+3.7
-0.48
#12
+2.23
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Drake
25
11
0.6940.69
+1.5
+0.6
—
—
+0.43
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Drake
26
5
0.8390.84
+4.6
+3.9
+0.44
#11
+0.54
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Drake
20
14
0.5880.59
-3.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Drake
24
10
0.7060.71
+1.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.