5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.2%
163 games
As Favorite
52.2%
90 games
As Underdog
58.3%
72 games
Recent Season
60.6%
2025-26
Current Season
60.6%
33 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
TCU
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
TCU
23
12
0.6570.66
+4.9
+4.0
+0.40
#9
+0.47
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
TCU
16
16
0.5000.50
+1.0
-0.1
—
—
-0.73
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
TCU
21
13
0.6180.62
+3.5
-0.3
-0.60
#9
+0.24
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
TCU
22
13
0.6290.63
+4.0
+0.5
-0.02
#6
+1.34
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2021-22
TCU
21
13
0.6180.62
+4.1
+3.9
+0.40
#9
+4.08
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
TCU
12
14
0.4620.46
-2.5
-1.1
—
—
-4.44
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
TCU
16
16
0.5000.50
-0.3
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
TCU
23
14
0.6220.62
+3.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
TCU
21
12
0.6360.64
+4.8
—
-1.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
TCU
24
15
0.6150.62
+2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Pittsburgh
21
12
0.6360.64
+3.3
—
-0.58
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Pittsburgh
19
15
0.5590.56
-0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Pittsburgh
26
10
0.7220.72
+5.3
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Pittsburgh
24
9
0.7270.73
+6.1
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Pittsburgh
22
17
0.5640.56
-1.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Pittsburgh
28
6
0.8240.82
+9.9
—
-2.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Pittsburgh
25
9
0.7350.74
+6.8
—
-0.79
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Pittsburgh
31
5
0.8610.86
+11.0
—
-0.26
#1
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Pittsburgh
27
10
0.7300.73
—
—
-0.52
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Pittsburgh
29
8
0.7840.78
+9.2
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Pittsburgh
25
8
0.7580.76
+7.1
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Pittsburgh
20
9
0.6900.69
+4.0
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Pittsburgh
31
5
0.8610.86
+10.2
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.