5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
51.4%
154 games
As Favorite
49.2%
120 games
As Underdog
59.4%
32 games
Recent Season
56.7%
2025-26
Current Season
56.7%
30 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Grand Canyon
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Grand Canyon
20
12
0.6250.62
+0.4
+0.8
—
—
+1.12
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Grand Canyon
26
8
0.7650.76
+1.2
+1.8
-0.24
#13
-1.98
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Grand Canyon
30
5
0.8570.86
+5.4
+5.2
+0.52
#12
+2.21
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Grand Canyon
24
12
0.6670.67
-0.3
+1.7
-0.15
#14
+0.16
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Grand Canyon
23
8
0.7420.74
+0.3
+2.2
—
—
+1.70
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Grand Canyon
17
7
0.7080.71
-1.0
+0.7
-0.10
#15
+9.00
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2018-19
Vanderbilt
9
23
0.2810.28
-7.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Vanderbilt
12
20
0.3750.38
-3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Vanderbilt
19
16
0.5430.54
+2.7
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Valparaiso
30
7
0.8110.81
+3.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Valparaiso
28
6
0.8240.82
+4.3
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Valparaiso
18
16
0.5290.53
-5.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Valparaiso
26
8
0.7650.76
+3.7
—
-0.15
#14
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Valparaiso
22
12
0.6470.65
+0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.