5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
46.7%
163 games
As Favorite
50.4%
123 games
As Underdog
40.0%
40 games
Recent Season
50.0%
2025-26
Current Season
50.0%
32 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
San Diego St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
San Diego St.
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.8
+1.1
—
—
-1.56
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
San Diego St.
21
10
0.6770.68
+3.9
+2.0
-0.56
#11
-1.80
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
San Diego St.
26
11
0.7030.70
+5.9
+2.1
+0.88
#5
+0.56
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
San Diego St.
32
7
0.8210.82
+8.4
+7.7
+3.88
#5
+0.74
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
2nd
Houston, TX
►2021-22
San Diego St.
23
9
0.7190.72
+5.2
+2.3
-0.69
#8
+1.02
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
San Diego St.
23
5
0.8210.82
+5.7
+3.2
-1.02
#6
+0.06
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
San Diego St.
30
2
0.9380.94
+9.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
San Diego St.
21
13
0.6180.62
-0.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
San Diego St.
22
11
0.6670.67
+2.0
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.