5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
53.0%
154 games
As Favorite
49.4%
85 games
As Underdog
59.4%
69 games
Recent Season
42.9%
2025-26
Current Season
42.9%
28 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Chattanooga
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Chattanooga
13
19
0.4060.41
-12.3
-4.3
—
—
-3.21
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Chattanooga
29
9
0.7630.76
-0.3
+7.0
—
—
+2.83
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Chattanooga
21
12
0.6360.64
-3.4
+1.2
—
—
+0.53
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Chattanooga
18
17
0.5140.51
-8.0
-2.1
—
—
-0.50
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
VMI
16
16
0.5000.50
-6.8
-0.9
—
—
+0.91
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
VMI
13
12
0.5200.52
-5.1
+1.8
—
—
+5.50
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
VMI
9
24
0.2730.27
-15.2
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
VMI
11
21
0.3440.34
-9.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
VMI
9
21
0.3000.30
-13.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
VMI
6
24
0.2000.20
-14.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
VMI
9
21
0.3000.30
-12.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.