5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
51.7%
62 games
As Favorite
41.7%
24 games
As Underdog
57.9%
38 games
Recent Season
54.5%
2025-26
Current Season
54.5%
33 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Illinois Chicago
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Illinois Chicago
19
16
0.5430.54
-4.3
+0.9
—
—
+2.47
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Illinois Chicago
17
14
0.5480.55
-4.6
+1.2
—
—
-0.14
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2019-20
UAB
19
13
0.5940.59
-4.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
UAB
20
15
0.5710.57
-3.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
UAB
20
13
0.6060.61
-3.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
UAB
17
16
0.5150.52
-6.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.