5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
47.1%
164 games
As Favorite
46.1%
115 games
As Underdog
49.0%
49 games
Recent Season
44.1%
2025-26
Current Season
44.1%
34 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
SMU
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
SMU
20
14
0.5880.59
+3.2
-0.8
-0.56
#11
-0.68
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
SMU
24
11
0.6860.69
+3.0
+1.0
—
—
+1.32
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
USC
15
18
0.4550.45
-2.0
-3.0
—
—
-1.64
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
USC
22
11
0.6670.67
+4.1
+3.2
-0.58
#10
+1.50
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
USC
26
8
0.7650.76
+6.7
+3.6
-0.86
#7
-3.65
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
USC
25
8
0.7580.76
+6.5
+4.6
+1.98
#6
+3.49
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
USC
22
9
0.7100.71
+4.8
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
USC
16
17
0.4850.48
-3.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
USC
24
12
0.6670.67
+3.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
USC
26
10
0.7220.72
+4.5
—
+1.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
USC
21
13
0.6180.62
+3.2
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2014-15
USC
12
20
0.3750.38
-5.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
USC
11
21
0.3440.34
-5.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Florida Gulf Coast
26
11
0.7030.70
-1.0
—
+1.90
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Florida Gulf Coast
15
17
0.4690.47
-7.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.