5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.8%
153 games
As Favorite
46.9%
81 games
As Underdog
59.7%
72 games
Recent Season
56.2%
2025-26
Current Season
56.2%
32 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2025-26
Providence
15
18
0.4550.45
-2.2
-1.9
—
—
+0.53
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Providence
12
20
0.3750.38
-5.3
-3.9
—
—
-1.58
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Providence
21
14
0.6000.60
+3.0
+1.3
—
—
-0.11
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
George Mason
20
13
0.6060.61
-3.0
+2.5
—
—
-0.18
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
George Mason
14
16
0.4670.47
-5.5
-1.1
—
—
+1.11
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.