5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
54.7%
149 games
As Favorite
56.2%
73 games
As Underdog
52.0%
75 games
Recent Season
61.3%
2025-26
Current Season
61.3%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
UMBC
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
UMBC
24
9
0.7270.73
-2.6
+5.2
-0.01
#16
+5.97
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
UMBC
13
19
0.4060.41
-13.3
-3.4
—
—
-1.57
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
UMBC
11
21
0.3440.34
-13.7
-2.4
—
—
+2.05
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
UMBC
18
14
0.5620.56
-7.5
+0.5
—
—
-0.53
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
UMBC
18
14
0.5620.56
-6.9
+1.6
—
—
-0.37
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Penn St.
11
14
0.4400.44
+1.0
-0.9
—
—
+0.46
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2016-17
Duquesne
10
22
0.3120.31
-11.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Duquesne
17
17
0.5000.50
-4.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Duquesne
12
19
0.3870.39
-7.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Duquesne
13
17
0.4330.43
-6.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Duquesne
8
22
0.2670.27
-9.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
LIU Brooklyn
25
9
0.7350.74
—
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
LIU Brooklyn
27
6
0.8180.82
—
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2009-10
LIU Brooklyn
14
17
0.4520.45
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
LIU Brooklyn
16
14
0.5330.53
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
LIU Brooklyn
15
15
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
LIU Brooklyn
10
19
0.3450.34
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
LIU Brooklyn
12
16
0.4290.43
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
LIU Brooklyn
14
15
0.4830.48
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
LIU Brooklyn
8
19
0.2960.30
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
LIU Brooklyn
9
19
0.3210.32
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.