5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
49.2%
161 games
As Favorite
54.4%
103 games
As Underdog
47.4%
57 games
Recent Season
44.1%
2025-26
Current Season
44.1%
34 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Wake Forest
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Wake Forest
18
17
0.5140.51
+0.3
-1.7
—
—
-0.96
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Wake Forest
21
11
0.6560.66
+3.1
+2.8
—
—
-1.72
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Wake Forest
21
14
0.6000.60
+1.6
-0.6
—
—
+1.76
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Wake Forest
19
14
0.5760.58
-1.1
+0.7
—
—
+0.12
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Wake Forest
25
10
0.7140.71
+2.9
+4.5
—
—
+4.98
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Wake Forest
6
16
0.2730.27
-5.7
-3.3
—
—
-4.00
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
East Tennessee St.
30
4
0.8820.88
+5.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
East Tennessee St.
24
10
0.7060.71
+2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
East Tennessee St.
25
9
0.7350.74
-0.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
East Tennessee St.
27
8
0.7710.77
+2.7
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
East Tennessee St.
24
12
0.6670.67
-1.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.