5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.0%
112 games
As Favorite
55.3%
76 games
As Underdog
42.9%
35 games
Recent Season
45.2%
2023-24
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Little Rock
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2023-24
Saint Louis
13
20
0.3940.39
-7.5
-1.4
—
—
-0.53
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Saint Louis
21
12
0.6360.64
-0.8
+0.2
—
—
-1.81
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Saint Louis
23
12
0.6570.66
+1.0
+2.1
—
—
+2.21
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Saint Louis
14
7
0.6670.67
+1.1
-0.8
—
—
-1.91
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Saint Louis
23
8
0.7420.74
+3.1
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Saint Louis
23
13
0.6390.64
+0.7
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Saint Louis
17
16
0.5150.52
-4.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Saint Louis
12
21
0.3640.36
-9.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Oklahoma St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-5.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Oklahoma St.
18
14
0.5620.56
+3.5
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Oklahoma St.
21
13
0.6180.62
+3.7
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Oklahoma St.
24
9
0.7270.73
+6.5
—
-1.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Oklahoma St.
15
18
0.4550.45
-2.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Oklahoma St.
20
14
0.5880.59
+0.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Oklahoma St.
22
11
0.6670.67
+4.6
—
-0.86
#7
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
Oklahoma St.
23
12
0.6570.66
+4.2
—
+0.31
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Massachusetts
25
11
0.6940.69
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Massachusetts
24
9
0.7270.73
+2.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Massachusetts
13
15
0.4640.46
-3.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Eastern Kentucky
22
9
0.7100.71
-0.4
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Eastern Kentucky
14
15
0.4830.48
-6.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Eastern Kentucky
11
17
0.3930.39
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Eastern Kentucky
7
20
0.2590.26
-11.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2000-01
Eastern Kentucky
7
19
0.2690.27
-11.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.