5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
57.0%
117 games
As Favorite
50.0%
70 games
As Underdog
66.0%
47 games
Recent Season
64.5%
2025-26
Current Season
64.5%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Merrimack
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Merrimack
23
11
0.6760.68
-3.2
+6.2
—
—
+3.35
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Merrimack
18
15
0.5450.55
-7.4
+1.4
—
—
+1.82
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Merrimack
21
12
0.6360.64
-5.0
+2.1
—
—
+1.58
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Merrimack
18
16
0.5290.53
-9.6
+2.5
—
—
+1.39
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Merrimack
14
16
0.4670.47
-9.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Merrimack
9
9
0.5000.50
-5.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Merrimack
20
11
0.6450.65
-3.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.