5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
43.8%
152 games
As Favorite
40.7%
86 games
As Underdog
48.5%
66 games
Recent Season
41.9%
2025-26
Current Season
41.9%
31 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Missouri
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Missouri
20
13
0.6060.61
+3.8
+1.1
-0.58
#10
-1.02
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Missouri
22
12
0.6470.65
+5.6
+1.0
-1.02
#6
+3.16
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Missouri
8
24
0.2500.25
-9.3
-7.7
—
—
-4.45
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Missouri
25
10
0.7140.71
+5.4
+4.6
+0.14
#7
-1.42
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Cleveland St.
20
11
0.6450.65
-4.0
+0.2
—
—
-1.00
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Cleveland St.
19
8
0.7040.70
-0.2
+1.8
-0.10
#15
-2.71
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Cleveland St.
11
21
0.3440.34
-12.0
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.