5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.6%
117 games
As Favorite
55.8%
43 games
As Underdog
51.3%
74 games
Recent Season
46.4%
2025-26
Current Season
46.4%
28 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2025-26
Tarleton St.
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.1
-3.3
—
—
-0.38
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Tarleton St.
12
20
0.3750.38
-10.3
-0.1
—
—
-0.74
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Tarleton St.
25
10
0.7140.71
+0.5
+5.1
—
—
+1.81
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Tarleton St.
17
17
0.5000.50
-5.1
+0.3
—
—
-0.08
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Tarleton St.
14
17
0.4520.45
-7.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Tarleton St.
10
10
0.5000.50
-5.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2011-12
Texas Tech
8
23
0.2580.26
-8.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2008-09
Kentucky
22
14
0.6110.61
+0.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
Kentucky
18
13
0.5810.58
—
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Texas A&M
27
7
0.7940.79
+7.1
—
+0.21
#3
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Texas A&M
22
9
0.7100.71
+4.3
—
+0.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Texas A&M
21
10
0.6770.68
+3.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
UTEP
24
8
0.7500.75
—
—
-0.24
#13
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
UTEP
6
24
0.2000.20
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.