5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
49.5%
167 games
As Favorite
46.1%
128 games
As Underdog
63.2%
38 games
Recent Season
48.6%
2025-26
Current Season
48.6%
37 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Dayton
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Dayton
25
12
0.6760.68
+2.4
+2.8
—
—
-0.49
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Dayton
23
11
0.6760.68
+1.8
+1.3
—
—
-2.58
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Dayton
25
8
0.7580.76
+5.5
+4.4
+0.14
#7
+1.69
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Dayton
22
12
0.6470.65
-1.3
-0.5
—
—
+0.06
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Dayton
24
11
0.6860.69
+1.4
+3.2
—
—
+2.66
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Dayton
14
10
0.5830.58
-0.1
+1.5
—
—
+0.81
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Dayton
29
2
0.9350.94
+9.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Dayton
21
12
0.6360.64
+1.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Dayton
14
17
0.4520.45
-6.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2014-15
Alabama
18
14
0.5620.56
+1.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Alabama
13
19
0.4060.41
-4.1
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Alabama
23
13
0.6390.64
+2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Alabama
21
12
0.6360.64
+3.8
—
-0.60
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Alabama
25
12
0.6760.68
+1.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
Alabama
17
15
0.5310.53
-0.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
VCU
24
10
0.7060.71
—
—
-0.56
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
VCU
24
8
0.7500.75
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
VCU
28
7
0.8000.80
—
—
+0.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.