5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
57.8%
59 games
As Favorite
50.0%
20 games
As Underdog
61.5%
39 games
Recent Season
60.0%
2025-26
Current Season
60.0%
30 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Indiana St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Indiana St.
11
21
0.3440.34
-11.7
-3.7
—
—
+0.95
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Indiana St.
14
18
0.4380.44
-8.8
-1.7
—
—
-0.58
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2017-18
South Alabama
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
South Alabama
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
South Alabama
14
19
0.4240.42
-9.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
South Alabama
12
21
0.3640.36
-11.3
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
South Alabama
11
20
0.3550.35
-11.4
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.