5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.7%
150 games
As Favorite
50.0%
50 games
As Underdog
55.7%
97 games
Recent Season
58.1%
2025-26
Current Season
58.1%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Coastal Carolina
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Coastal Carolina
19
13
0.5940.59
-5.4
+3.8
—
—
-1.03
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Coastal Carolina
10
22
0.3120.31
-15.3
-4.7
—
—
-2.63
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Western Carolina
22
10
0.6880.69
-1.8
+2.3
—
—
+2.66
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Western Carolina
18
16
0.5290.53
-7.0
+1.7
—
—
+1.08
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Western Carolina
11
21
0.3440.34
-11.6
-0.1
—
—
+0.19
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.