5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
52.5%
88 games
As Favorite
55.0%
20 games
As Underdog
50.7%
67 games
Recent Season
63.3%
2025-26
Current Season
63.3%
30 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Buffalo
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Buffalo
17
15
0.5310.53
-7.1
+1.1
—
—
+1.60
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Buffalo
9
22
0.2900.29
-14.2
-1.5
—
—
-1.22
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Buffalo
4
27
0.1290.13
-19.2
-7.0
—
—
-3.88
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.