5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
43.5%
163 games
As Favorite
40.5%
121 games
As Underdog
59.5%
42 games
Recent Season
37.5%
2025-26
Current Season
37.5%
32 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Memphis
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Memphis
13
19
0.4060.41
-6.0
-4.0
—
—
-2.97
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Memphis
29
6
0.8290.83
+8.2
+6.5
-1.12
#5
+0.06
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Memphis
22
10
0.6880.69
+2.6
+2.1
—
—
-0.47
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Memphis
26
9
0.7430.74
+6.6
+3.8
-0.69
#8
+1.37
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Memphis
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.5
+0.9
+0.40
#9
+0.21
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Memphis
20
8
0.7140.71
+1.4
+2.7
—
—
+0.20
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Memphis
21
10
0.6770.68
+2.4
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Memphis
22
14
0.6110.61
+1.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.