5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.3%
141 games
As Favorite
51.4%
72 games
As Underdog
59.4%
69 games
Recent Season
51.7%
2025-26
Current Season
51.7%
29 games · 2025-26
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Jacksonville St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Jacksonville St.
15
17
0.4690.47
-9.6
-2.0
—
—
+0.03
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Jacksonville St.
23
13
0.6390.64
-2.1
+4.4
—
—
+2.88
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Jacksonville St.
14
18
0.4380.44
-9.9
-3.0
—
—
+0.55
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Jacksonville St.
13
18
0.4190.42
-9.5
-1.8
—
—
-0.79
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Jacksonville St.
21
11
0.6560.66
-2.3
+0.6
-0.10
#15
-1.83
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Jacksonville St.
18
9
0.6670.67
-2.6
+3.5
—
—
+1.90
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Jacksonville St.
13
19
0.4060.41
-11.5
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Jacksonville St.
24
9
0.7270.73
-0.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Jacksonville St.
23
13
0.6390.64
-3.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Jacksonville St.
20
15
0.5710.57
-4.8
—
-0.10
#15
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Western Kentucky
18
16
0.5290.53
-5.8
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Western Kentucky
20
12
0.6250.62
-1.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Western Kentucky
20
12
0.6250.62
-2.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Western Kentucky
20
16
0.5560.56
-4.2
—
-0.01
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Western Kentucky
11
8
0.5790.58
-6.9
—
+0.99
#16
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.