5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
55.2%
145 games
As Favorite
51.4%
35 games
As Underdog
52.7%
110 games
Recent Season
65.5%
2025-26
Current Season
65.5%
29 games · 2025-26
Trend
HOT
Covers the spread more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Eastern Michigan
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Eastern Michigan
10
21
0.3230.32
-11.3
-3.1
—
—
+1.24
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Eastern Michigan
16
16
0.5000.50
-8.5
+2.7
—
—
+0.53
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Eastern Michigan
13
18
0.4190.42
-10.6
+0.8
—
—
-0.67
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Eastern Michigan
8
23
0.2580.26
-14.2
-3.0
—
—
-2.05
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Eastern Michigan
10
21
0.3230.32
-12.5
-2.4
—
—
-2.20
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2013-14
South Florida
12
20
0.3750.38
-7.0
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
South Florida
12
19
0.3870.39
-4.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
South Florida
22
14
0.6110.61
+2.2
—
+1.52
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
South Florida
10
23
0.3030.30
-6.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2009-10
South Florida
20
13
0.6060.61
+2.9
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2008-09
South Florida
9
22
0.2900.29
-6.6
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Detroit, MI
►2007-08
South Florida
12
19
0.3870.39
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2006-07
Arkansas
21
14
0.6000.60
+3.9
—
-0.48
#12
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Atlanta, GA
►2005-06
Arkansas
22
10
0.6880.69
+4.7
—
-0.69
#8
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2004-05
Arkansas
18
12
0.6000.60
+0.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
St. Louis, MO
►2003-04
Arkansas
12
16
0.4290.43
-2.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2002-03
Arkansas
9
19
0.3210.32
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2001-02
Kent State
30
6
0.8330.83
—
—
+2.42
#10
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
E8
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.