5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
44.5%
144 games
As Favorite
45.5%
99 games
As Underdog
48.8%
43 games
Recent Season
32.3%
2025-26
Current Season
32.3%
31 games · 2025-26
Trend
COLD
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Drake
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
Drake
14
20
0.4120.41
-9.4
-3.5
—
—
-1.47
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
South Dakota St.
20
12
0.6250.62
-2.9
+0.0
—
—
+0.36
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
South Dakota St.
22
13
0.6290.63
-4.0
+2.1
-0.10
#15
+1.38
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
South Dakota St.
19
13
0.5940.59
-3.5
+0.0
—
—
-2.55
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
South Dakota St.
30
5
0.8570.86
+4.5
+3.3
-0.24
#13
+0.96
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
South Dakota St.
16
7
0.6960.70
-0.3
+0.3
—
—
-4.88
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
South Dakota St.
22
10
0.6880.69
-1.9
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.