5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
59.1%
103 games
As Favorite
58.1%
74 games
As Underdog
64.3%
28 games
Recent Season
59.4%
2025-26
Current Season
59.4%
32 games · 2025-26
Strong cover rate — covers the spread at a well-above-average clip.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
Providence
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
South Florida
25
9
0.7350.74
+3.7
+2.6
-0.56
#11
+2.97
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
Arkansas St.
25
11
0.6940.69
-3.6
+1.7
—
—
+2.16
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Arkansas St.
20
17
0.5410.54
-5.9
+0.6
—
—
+2.00
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.