5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
50.6%
163 games
As Favorite
47.2%
89 games
As Underdog
51.3%
74 games
Recent Season
56.7%
2025-26
Current Season
56.7%
30 games · 2025-26
Near-neutral ATS record — close to a coin flip against the spread.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
DePaul
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
DePaul
16
16
0.5000.50
-2.1
+0.2
—
—
-0.47
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
DePaul
14
20
0.4120.41
-4.3
-0.8
—
—
+0.76
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
Ohio St.
14
11
0.5600.56
+2.6
+0.0
—
—
-0.56
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Ohio St.
16
19
0.4570.46
-2.2
-4.5
—
—
-1.42
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Ohio St.
20
12
0.6250.62
+2.8
-0.2
+0.14
#7
-0.98
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Ohio St.
21
10
0.6770.68
+8.2
+2.3
-2.27
#2
+1.45
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R64
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Ohio St.
21
10
0.6770.68
+5.8
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Ohio St.
20
15
0.5710.57
+3.7
—
+0.44
#11
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Ohio St.
25
9
0.7350.74
+6.9
—
-0.12
#5
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Butler
25
9
0.7350.74
+7.5
—
+0.48
#4
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
S16
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Butler
22
11
0.6670.67
+3.6
—
+0.40
#9
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Butler
23
11
0.6760.68
+5.6
—
-0.02
#6
—
R64
R32
S16
E8
FF
CG
R32
Indianapolis, IN
►2012-13
Gardner Webb
21
13
0.6180.62
-4.2
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Gardner Webb
12
20
0.3750.38
-11.5
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Gardner Webb
11
21
0.3440.34
-10.7
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.