5-season decay-weighted cover rate (most recent season weighted heaviest). Spread data from 2021–22 onward. HOT/COLD requires most recent season ≥ 10 games and >5 pts from weighted avg.
Cover %
44.5%
84 games
As Favorite
41.7%
36 games
As Underdog
46.8%
47 games
Recent Season
48.3%
2025-26
Current Season
48.3%
29 games · 2025-26
Fails to cover the spread slightly more often than not.
Season-by-season
Season
School
W
L
Win%
WAB
WAP
TASE
Seed
ATS
Furthest RoundNCAA
Final Four LocationF4 Location
►2026-27
New Mexico St.
0
0
0.0000.00
—
—
—
—
—
Detroit, MI
►2025-26
New Mexico St.
16
16
0.5000.50
-7.9
-2.3
—
—
-1.00
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2024-25
New Mexico St.
17
15
0.5310.53
-5.3
+0.6
—
—
+2.43
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2023-24
New Mexico St.
13
19
0.4060.41
-9.2
-1.6
—
—
-1.96
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2022-23
Sam Houston
26
8
0.7650.76
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2021-22
Sam Houston
19
14
0.5760.58
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2020-21
Sam Houston
19
9
0.6790.68
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2019-20
Sam Houston
18
13
0.5810.58
—
—
—
—
—
COVID
Atlanta, GA
►2018-19
Sam Houston
21
12
0.6360.64
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Minneapolis, MN
►2017-18
Sam Houston
21
15
0.5830.58
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
San Antonio, TX
►2016-17
Sam Houston
21
13
0.6180.62
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Phoenix, AZ
►2015-16
Sam Houston
18
16
0.5290.53
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
►2014-15
Sam Houston
26
9
0.7430.74
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Indianapolis, IN
►2013-14
Sam Houston
24
11
0.6860.69
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Arlington, TX
►2012-13
Sam Houston
17
17
0.5000.50
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Atlanta, GA
►2011-12
Sam Houston
13
19
0.4060.41
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
New Orleans, LA
►2010-11
Sam Houston
18
13
0.5810.58
—
—
—
—
—
No NCAA
Houston, TX
Abbreviations: R64=Round of 64, R32=Round of 32, S16=Sweet 16, E8=Elite 8, FF=Final Four, CG=Championship Game (runner-up or champion). 🏆 indicates a national title. Gold highlight = Final Four appearance or better.